(4214 days ago)
About me
Computer Geek. Algorithmic trader
And here is another good explanation of a trading strategy using Neural Nets. Consists in predict average crossovers rather than prices:
http://www.futuresmag.com/2013/03/26/casting-neural-nets-into-modern-markets
I think that the prediction is a wrong paradigm regarding trading. What is necessary for surival is the robustness of the solution.
How to protect yourself from data mining bias, that is a big question ;).
Some interesting ideas:
http://www.engr.wisc.edu/ece/faculty/barmish_ross/ifac_trading_barmish.pdf
http://beathespread.com/blog/view/16854/optimization-of-trading-strategy-is-there-something-wrong-part-2